Yes boys, this is the first post regarding regression analysis. For all of those of you who didn't pay attention in statistics class regression analysis looks and two seemingly independent variables and looks if one has to do with the other.
In this case we are looking at Winning Percentage, because that's what matters in our league.
The scale basically ranges from 0-1, the closer to 1 the better correlation there is, the better correlation, the more it matters.
R .79
HR .09
RBI .17
SB .32
AVG .70
OBP .80
SLG .32
OPS .65
So it looks like the most important stats so far are OBP and Runs, mainly because those
two categories are aggregates of other categories. You can't have a good OBP without average, and the more you get on base the more runs you will score and rbi's you drive in.
I guess I’m surprised about how little HR’s have to do with Winning Percentage. Every time you hit a home run you earn points in R, HR, RBI, AVG, OBP, SLG, and OPS. I guess its early and we are under a severe sample size warning, so funny things happen…like me being in second to last place.
2 comments:
FYI
In 2007 there was a .77 correlation between a countries overall Freedom score and Corruption scores, and a .84 correlation between freedom and property index.
Well I have to say jwest, its good to finally see the baseball nerdyness comeout this year. And I have to say, if you are looking for some cold hard facts to support your analysis, look at the total stats on the league page. Going into this week, I am in second place, 1 point behind Autodraft. I am in second place on runs, 28 behind autodraft and 9 ahead of The Turd Ferguson. When it comes to OBP I am in 1st, .013 ahead of autodraft. Thanks Barry.
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